"Tetlock tells us that we need to filter out a lot of the 'noise' that is out there in the world of expert judgment. His proposal, to expand the anonymous peer reviewing that we have in academic publishing to other kinds of expert predictions...is interesting. He himself concedes it might be a tough sell, however, given the free for all in contemporary punditry."A tough sell ... um, yes. And it should be.
Thursday, April 9, 2009
Perhaps not a great idea
From James R. Martel's review (in Political Theory, current issue) of Philip Tetlock's Expert Political Judgment: